FASTENAL CO (FAST) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Fastenal delivered a clean top-line and bottom-line beat: revenue rose 8.6% year over year to $2.08B and diluted EPS increased 12.8% to $0.29; both exceeded S&P Global consensus (EPS $0.27*, revenue $2.07B*) (consensus: GetEstimates)*.
- Mix and execution improved margins: gross margin ticked up to 45.3% (+20 bps YoY) on favorable price/cost and fastener expansion; operating margin expanded 80 bps to 21.0% .
- Management trimmed 2025 capex guidance to $250–$270M (from $265–$285M) and lowered the annual FMI signings goal to 25–26k MEUs (from 28–30k), reflecting disciplined spend and tariff-driven focus shifts .
- Commercial momentum accelerated: contract sales grew 11% and reached 73.2% of mix; 84 contracts were signed in Q2, and management expressed confidence in double‑digit sales growth for 2H25 given the pipeline and pricing actions .
- Capital returns remain steady post 2‑for‑1 split: Board declared a $0.22 dividend payable Aug 26, 2025; all per‑share figures are split‑adjusted .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Contract momentum and share gains: “In Q2, we saw 84 contract signings… Contract customer sales for the quarter increased 11% and now represent 73.2% of our revenues” .
- Margin execution: Gross margin rose to 45.3% on improved fastener margins and slightly favorable price/cost; operating margin reached 21.0% .
- Digital leverage: Digital Footprint represented 61.0% of sales, with eBusiness at 30.0% and FMI at 44.1%, providing scalable growth and efficiency .
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What Went Wrong
- Tariff overhang slowed device signings: Weighted FASTBin/FASTVend signings were 6,458 in Q2 (101/day), as tariff discussions crowded sales bandwidth; full‑year signings goal cut to 25–26k MEUs .
- Mix and logistics headwinds: Customer/product mix diluted gross margin; higher import duties and fleet/third‑party freight costs also weighed on gross profit .
- Working capital intensity: Inventories rose 14.7% YoY to support growth, tariff mitigation, and fastener expansion; operating cash conversion declined YoY for the six‑month period .
Financial Results
Key metrics (chronological: Q2 2024 → Q1 2025 → Q2 2025)
- Note: Q1 2025 EPS shown split-adjusted via S&P Global; values marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus
- Consensus values marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Product and End-Market Mix (Q2 2025)
Customer Mix (Q2 2025)
KPIs (Q2 2025)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Sales in the second quarter increased by 8.6%, marking our highest daily growth since early 2023… contract customer sales… increased 11% and now represent 73.2% of our revenues.” — Jeff Watts, President & CSO .
- “Our operating income… increased to 21.0%… Gross margin… increased to 45.3%… improved margin on fastener sales relating to the fastener expansion project…” .
- “We implemented three separate pricing actions which aimed to contribute 3%–4% of price by the end of the second quarter… Additional pricing actions will be necessary in the second half of 2025.” — Management .
- “Because of… tariffs… there were fewer discussions about expanding the FMI footprint… we ended the quarter with just over 132,000 devices… 44.1% of sales.” — CEO Dan Florness .
- “We expect our gross margin for 2025 will be relatively flat with 2024.” — Management .
Q&A Highlights
- Pricing cadence and exit rate: Q2 exit around ~3%; Q3 likely 3–5%, potentially 5–8% by year‑end depending on tariff outcomes and execution [12] [13].
- Margin outlook: FY25 gross margin expected “relatively flat” vs 2024; price/cost tougher in 2H as higher‑cost inventory flows through; aim is to defend, not expand, margin .
- Fastener expansion economics: Improved availability and more profitable spot‑buy mix boost gross margin and free up field time, supporting growth and contribution margins .
- Demand trajectory: Management voiced confidence in achieving double‑digit sales growth in 2H25 given pipeline and pricing momentum .
- eCommerce strategy: Website relaunch in 2025 to capture spot buys (including small customers) with AI‑enhanced search/checkout; large accounts also show share‑of‑wallet upside online .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 beats: Revenue $2.080B vs $2.067B* and EPS $0.29 vs $0.27*; Q1 2025 was roughly in line on EPS ($0.26 vs $0.26*) and modest revenue beat ($1.959B vs $1.951B*) (consensus: GetEstimates)*.
- Implications: Street models likely move higher for 2H revenue (contract signings, easier comps, pricing) and reflect flat GM% with EBIT leverage from SG&A efficiency; capex reduction should modestly lift FCF forecasts .
- Estimates marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Commercial momentum + pricing delivered a clean beat; narrative pivoting to sustained double‑digit 2H top‑line potential, contingent on tariff execution and demand stability .
- Quality of growth improved: contract mix up to 73.2% and digital penetration at 61% should support durable share gains and operating efficiency .
- Margins: modest gross margin tailwind from fastener expansion and price/cost discipline, offset by mix and logistics; FY25 GM% guided flat; EBIT margin benefitting from SG&A leverage .
- Capital discipline: capex trimmed to $250–$270M while executing Utah/Atlanta hubs and FMI hardware; supports FCF resilience amid elevated inventories for tariff mitigation .
- Near‑term swing factors: tariff policy cadence (affecting pricing and device signings), logistics costs, and mix toward large accounts and non‑fasteners .
- Tactical setup: Beat/raise dynamic on revenues possible if pricing flows as planned and contract wins convert; margin trajectory likely steady with upside tied to fastener expansion mix benefits .
- Income/support: $0.22/share dividend post split provides steady return while the business reinvests in digital and distribution network .
Sources: Q2 2025 8-K and press release, Q2 2025 earnings call transcript, Q1 2025 and Q4 2024 press releases, dividend and split announcements.
- Q2 2025 8‑K (including Exhibit 99.1 press release):
- Q2 2025 standalone press release:
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript:
- Q1 2025 press release (trend):
- Q4 2024 press release (trend):
- Dividend (7/11/25):
- 2‑for‑1 stock split (4/23/25):
Notes on S&P Global data: Consensus estimates and select split‑adjusted EPS values are from S&P Global and are marked with an asterisk. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*